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Raw signal.
Hot takes, market observations, build logs. No filler. The stuff that didn't fit in a tweet.
ARTICLE
How I open-sourced my Polymarket trading stack
7 repos. FOMO scanner, whale tracker, contrarian AI, copy trader, OSINT listener. Why I shipped the code but kept the filters.
HOT TAKE
Conviction is a liability
Every position I've held longest has lost me the most. Conviction without an exit plan is just stubbornness with a portfolio.
MAR 2026
HOT TAKE
The best trade I ever made was building a bot to replace me
I couldn't trust myself to close winning positions. So I wrote code that does it without asking. Turns out the edge was removing the human.
MAR 2026
ARTICLE
LP farming Polymarket: real numbers after 32 days
$60 positions, automated rebalancing, dual reward stacking. What the yield actually looks like when you run it yourself.
ARTICLE
Building a signal pipeline with Claude and Telegram
OSINT channels, FTS5 search, AI-augmented signal evaluation. How I built a brain that watches markets while I sleep.
ARTICLE
Why I bet against escalation and how it paid
Qatar +68pp, UAE +52pp. The anti-escalation NO thesis on prediction markets. Brier score 0.22 vs market 0.27.
X POST
$100K in 3 days on poker
Whatever I don't touch in crypto turns to gold. Back at the tables after years. Some edges don't decay.
X POST
Iran is playing crypto holder meta
One sentence connecting geopolitics, trading psychology, and crypto culture. The kind of synthesis that comes from sitting in three domains at once.
HOT TAKE
Poker taught me everything except how to stop
Variance tolerance, bankroll management, reading people. I learned it all at the table. Then I walked into crypto and unlearned it at scale.
2026
HOT TAKE
Execution is the flex. Everything else is cosplay.
Everyone has a thesis. Everyone has a plan. The gap between knowing and doing is where six figures go to die.
2026